What is your Prediction?

What is your Prediction?
A time series model is a forecasting technique that attempts to predict the future values of a variable by using only historical data on that one variable. Here are some examples of variables you can use to forecast. You may use a different source other than the ones listed (be sure to reference the website). There are many other variables you can use, as long as you have values that are recorded at successive intervals of time.
Currency price: XE (http://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/)
GNP: Trading Economics (http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gross-national-product)
Average home sales: National Association of Realtors (http://www.realtor.org/topics/existing-home-sales)
College tuition: National Center for Education Statistics (https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=76)
Weather temperature or precipitation: (http://www.weather.gov/help-past-weather)
Stock price: Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com)
Main Post: Once you have historical data, address the following:
State the variable you are forecasting.
Collect data for any time horizon (daily, monthly, yearly). Select at least 8 data values.
Use the Time Series Forecasting Templates to forecast using moving average, weighted moving average, and exponential smoothing (see video in Unit 9 LiveBinder).
Copy/paste the results of each method into your post. Be sure to state the number of periods used in the moving average method, the weights used in the weighted moving average, and the value of α used in exponential smoothing.
Clearly state the “next period” prediction for each method.
See Example and DB starter video in Unit 9 LiveBinder.
business statistics and quantitative analysis unit 9 discussion board. Instructions are there.

Calculate your order
Pages (275 words)
Standard price: $0.00
Client Reviews
Our Guarantees
100% Confidentiality
Information about customers is confidential and never disclosed to third parties.
Original Writing
We complete all papers from scratch. You can get a plagiarism report.
Timely Delivery
No missed deadlines – 97% of assignments are completed in time.
Money Back
If you're confident that a writer didn't follow your order details, ask for a refund.

Calculate the price of your order

You will get a personal manager and a discount.
We'll send you the first draft for approval by at
Total price:
Power up Your Academic Success with the
Team of Professionals. We’ve Got Your Back.
Power up Your Study Success with Experts We’ve Got Your Back.